"无法预测异常事件意味着无法预测历史的进程"
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Simplified Meaning:
In life, unexpected events often change everything. These are called 'outliers.' Imagine planning the perfect outdoor party, but suddenly, a storm hits. Just like that storm can change your party, outliers can change history in big ways we can't foresee. For example, nobody predicted the COVID-19 pandemic, and it shifted life worldwide. Because we can't foresee these rare, game-changing events, it's tough to predict what will happen in the future. This reminds us to stay flexible and be ready for surprises; planning is important, but we must also prepare for the unexpected.
FEATURED QUOTES