"错误不是事后才能确定的,而是根据当时可用的信息来判断的。"
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Simplified Meaning:
When you make a decision, you can only use the information you have at that moment. You cannot predict the future or know things you don't have access to right then. For example, imagine you go on a picnic because the weather report says it will be sunny. But later, it unexpectedly rains. It might feel like a mistake to have gone, but you made a good choice based on what you knew earlier. The advice here is to not judge your past decisions harshly just because new information comes later. Instead, trust that you did your best with what you had. When faced with a new decision, gather as much information as you can, make your choice, and don't be too hard on yourself if things change.
Related tags
Decision-making Growth Hindsight Information Judgment Learning Mistake Perspective Reflection WisdomFEATURED QUOTES