"我们在这里称之为黑天鹅的事件具有以下三个特征 稀有性 极端影响力和事后可预测性"
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Simplified Meaning:
A Black Swan event is something very rare, has a huge effect, and seems predictable only after it happens.
FEATURED QUOTES
A Black Swan event is something very rare, has a huge effect, and seems predictable only after it happens.