"عندما تبتعد عن الاحتمالات القياسية فإنك تفقد تمامًا معرفة حدودها"
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Simplified Meaning:
When you ignore the usual rules for guessing what might happen, you can't tell how likely anything is anymore. Imagine if you always flip a coin that should be heads or tails half the time. If you suddenly believe it can land on its edge more often, you can’t predict the outcomes properly. Take gambling, for example. Casinos understand probability well — like how often a roulette wheel lands on a red or black number. If you think the wheel can start landing on colors it's not supposed to, it becomes impossible for you to figure out your chances of winning. In everyday life, this reminds us to stick to tried-and-true methods when making predictions or decisions. If you’re always late and want to change, assuming you’ll never be late without changing habits isn’t smart. We need to follow realistic paths of how change happens, knowing our limits.
