"ランダムネスによって騙される効果は、予測者とそれによって誤導される人の両方に当てはまります。"
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Simplified Meaning:
Sometimes, people predict things that will happen in the future, but these predictions can be wrong just by chance. The people making the predictions and those believing in them can both be tricked by this randomness.
Related tags
Behavioral economics Cognitive bias Decision making Forecasting Misinterpretation Probability Randomness StatisticsFEATURED QUOTES